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How far must gold rise
before you break even?

A dealer sells you a coin for one price and buys it back for less. That gap is the spread, and it means you start out behind. This works out exactly how far behind, and what gold has to do before you are square.

£
The dealer's price for one coin or bar, including delivery.
£
On the same dealer's site, usually under "we buy" or "sell to us".
×
£
Vault fees, or a home-insurance add-on. Leave at 0 if neither applies.
yr
Gold must rise by
6.1%

before selling it back leaves you level.

They buy back at£3,038 You pay£3,224
The spread5.8% Of what you paid, lost the moment you buy.
Down on day one£186 If you sold it back this afternoon.
Break-even sell price£3,224 What the dealer must be paying before you are square.
Total outlay£3,224 Purchase price only.
Read it like this. You hand over £3,224. If you changed your mind an hour later, the same dealer gives you £3,038 back. Gold itself has not moved — the £186 is simply the cost of going in and out.

Why this number matters more than the gold price

Three things the spread quietly decides.

01

It sets your starting line

Gold could have a spectacular year and you still lose money, if you bought at an 11% spread and sold inside it. The spread is the hole you climb out of before any gain is yours.

02

Small coins have big spreads

A one-ounce coin might carry 4–6%. A tenth-ounce can carry 12–15% for the same metal, because minting a small coin costs nearly as much as a large one. Starting small is the expensive way to start.

03

Nobody advertises it

Buy prices are on every homepage. Buyback prices are buried, and some dealers will not quote one until you ring them. If a dealer will not tell you what they pay, that is the answer.

This is arithmetic, not advice. It tells you what a given pair of prices means. It does not know whether gold will rise, and neither does anyone else. Storage and insurance are included because they are real costs people forget — tax is not, because that depends on you and on the coin. UK-minted Britannias and Sovereigns are sterling legal tender, so under TCGA 1992 s.21(1)(b) they fall outside capital gains tax entirely. Bars do not, and nor do foreign coins like Krugerrands. Check your own position.